Othin

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Everything posted by Othin

  1. It's not just a matter of having ideas, but fitting those ideas into big-picture plans. Something that's compatible with a full banner they want to do, and a banner that compliments the other banners they have planned. Summer was what I expected too, but they ended up deciding they'd rather attach the Tellius theme to a Valentine's banner rather than a summer one. Probably dagger.
  2. Indeed, and I'm glad he finally got one. It's just that those are all reasons for IS to have taken longer to find a place for him.
  3. Okay, it's more like 1%. There's some room for error. I do think Ike and Anna are very different situations. Ike is a serious male character from Tellius, while Anna is a goofy female character from Awakening, Fates, and Heroes. That makes her several times easier to fit onto a seasonal banner, the way IS has been doing things. And Ike still made it onto the first dedicated Tellius seasonal banner. Plus, by now, they've already hit most of the highest-priority seasonal units, which leaves more room for others. I would not be surprised if we have multiple seasonal Annas by this time next year. Probably Fates and Heroes Anna if they go for it, alongside a non-seasonal Awakening Anna.
  4. Awakening Anna scored #5 on CYL3. The odds of some Anna not getting a seasonal alt for a whole more year are 0%. This is how it always goes. IS goes a while without making a type of character that would obviously be popular, and people say they hate them, and then suddenly they do it a bunch. We're currently seeing that effect with both Tellius and beast units, and there have been a bunch of previous examples. I remember when IS seemed to be allergic to adding more armors or OCs, and people wondered why they hated them so much.
  5. People said IS hated Marth and then he got his second and third versions pretty much back-to-back. I think it's a pretty safe bet that by this time next year, we'll have at least three versions of Anna in Heroes, maybe more.
  6. Valentine's, Halloween, and Winter. They have my favorite outfits, even though Winter hasn't had a ton of variety. Also, I like armors.
  7. Leo's art is great. Lukas's still kinda bugs me for seeming so much like his usual art, though. Maybe it's the color scheme?
  8. That's #4. Which is where all the main banner units here fall, so that's something at least.
  9. I'm always down for more armors, but this does seem a bit more random than even Valentine's Day. I do like that Flora has a new unit type, though. I don't plan on going for anyone here, but she's my favorite of them regardless.
  10. Hmm. Not bad, but nothing jumps out at me either. I do like the free Leo, though, since he's currently the only Fates royal I'm missing.
  11. Past seasonal axes include: Flag Giant spoon Bell Inflatable pool toy Melon on a stick Bag of gifts Seems to be include basically any handheld object you'd rather use to bludgeon someone with than stab them. Similarly to how "seasonal dagger" means "basically anything you can throw at someone". Plus, seasonal weapons tend to favor weapon types that show up less in the regular summoning pool.
  12. I've never seen a silhouette leak before, and they seem feasible enough to fake.
  13. No. Trailers go up 4 hours before the reset 1-2 days before the banner goes live. Silhouettes go up 24 hours before the trailer, so 4 hours before the reset 2-3 days ahead of the banner. Tonight's reset will be the one 3 days before the banner.
  14. Well, we'll probably get an official silhouette post in a bit over 5 hours, so if so, we'll know one way or the other then.
  15. New event calendar (April-May 2019)

    Silhouettes will be either tonight or tomorrow night. They're either 52 or 76 hours before the banner launches, whichever is 24 hours before the trailer.
  16. Is Jill coming to Heroes soon?

    I don't count Charlotte or Bruno, but good catch about Hel.
  17. Is Jill coming to Heroes soon?

    Female Farfetched candidates from the Top 100: Awakening Anna Louise Thrasir (technically) Jill Rinea Severa Rinkah Fates Anna Ilyana Lilith Naga FE8 Selena Nah Mila
  18. Is Jill coming to Heroes soon?

    Hmm, I hadn't realized the discrepancy was that large. I bet IS has picked up on it, though, and they might aim to put her on an FE7 banner rather than a Farfetched banner as a result. Could take some time, though.
  19. Is Jill coming to Heroes soon?

    Hmm. That's true. My point about Petrine being a much lower priority than Haar due to her lower popularity still stands, though. Looking at CYL2 (since these banners were planned before CYL3 happened): Haar got 4,784 total votes between his two versions, while Petrine got 514. Panne scored slightly above Haar, at 4,930. It makes sense that they'd only make exceptions like that for sufficiently popular units.
  20. New event calendar (April-May 2019)

    Yeah, I didn't do it for gameplay purposes, just because I wanted a Bruno. Thinking over the summoning pool math, it's not really enough. The increase in the odds of getting the focus unit from a 3-unit banner vs 4-unit are a lot more than the increase in the odds of a pitybreaker being desirable, at least for me. 3% focus and 3% new pool vs 4% focus, 1.5% new pool, and 1.5% old pool is really hard to justify, since you need an extra 1.5% of new pool to be worth not only 1.5% of old pool but also 1% of focus, and that's just silly.
  21. Is Jill coming to Heroes soon?

    This was classified as an FE10 banner, since that's the game where Caineghis is playable (and because people wanted more FE10 units, I guess). So Petrine didn't qualify due to not being in FE10. And Haar is a lot more popular, anyway. A minor gameplay mechanic that isn't even relevant to anyone who keeps all their units alive is not the sort of thing Heroes uses to decide its character choices. It's very clear by now that Heroes will do all sorts of strange things if it thinks it's profitable.
  22. Is Jill coming to Heroes soon?

    That's certainly an option. Even sticking more to stuff with recent precedent, Farfetched Heroes could work. With Bruno, Haar, Ranulf, and Caineghis all being added in the past month, I started questioning its likelihood, but they could do a gender-imbalanced one or just dig a bit further past Caineghis to Conrad, Nils, and Shinon. Jill is now the third highest-ranked female Farfetched Heroes candidate, after Awakening Anna and Louise. If either or both of those get added somewhere else, she becomes a safe bet if a Farfetched Heroes banner happens at all, even another gender-balanced one. If they put Louise and Nils on an FE7 banner, that'd suggest an Anna/Conrad/Jill banner plus Shinon GHB, which works out nicely color-wise. Even if Jill gets in another way, I hope we get more Tellius villains at some point. Ashera is a safe bet as a mythic, but there are other noteworthy ones as well, particularly Ashnard. Tell that to all the people surprised by other associated characters being split up. Like Haar and Jill. Louise and Pent being added together is possible, but it's not something to assume Heroes will necessarily go for.
  23. I forgot that I was planning on using my next 20k feathers to upgrade Haar and used them on a BK merge instead. Whoops. Not a big deal, since I'll get those feathers back in a week and BK would have been next on my list anyway, but a bit irritating.
  24. Is Jill coming to Heroes soon?

    Tellius was very underrepresented for a long time. After waiting for a full year after Micaiah's banner to really start digging into the rest of its huge cast, I think it's easily earned its two banners so far this year and has a good case for a third. Bear in mind that we already had a Tellius fliers banner. We've gotten the big highlights from the beast and bird tribes recently. I hope we're not finished with them, but I'm hoping our next Tellius banner will have dragon laguz, and beorc like Jill.